You’re here (TSLA) reports fourth quarter results on Wednesday, with investors likely focused on Elon Musk’s 2023 forecast and targets for the electric vehicle giant. Tesla stock fell on Wednesday.
After a terrible 2022, in which Tesla stock fell sharply in December, stocks fell again to start 2023. However, Tesla has rebounded from its steep price declines announced on January 1. 6 for vehicles in China. Analysts and investors will take a close look at the results on Wednesday to get a better idea of what Tesla expects for 2o23.
Tesla stock fell 2.5% on Wednesday in market trades. TSLA shares pared their first losses on Tuesday, up 0.1% at the close. The shares rose 7.7% to 143.75 on Monday after climbing 4.9% on Friday.
Estimates: Analysts expect earnings to rise 33% to $1.13 per share in the fourth quarter. End of Dec. 2022, analysts expected EPS of $1.25. Currently, analysts have set the revenue target at 39% growth to $24.67 billion.
Earnings: Check Wednesday after the market closes.
Tesla has already announced that its deliveries hit a record 405,278 in the fourth quarter. That missed the lowered forecast despite aggressive end-of-year incentives. Vehicle deliveries jumped 31% from a year earlier and almost 18% vs. 343,830 in Q3. Shipments also increased by 40% to 1,313,851 in 2022. This was well below the company’s 50% growth target.
Analysts had expected deliveries of around 420,000 Tesla in the fourth quarter, significantly reduced from higher estimates. Tesla’s deliveries in the third quarter had also been insufficient.
Tesla production rose to 439,701 in the fourth quarter, topping deliveries by more than 34,000. In the third quarter, production topped sales at just over 22,000. Tesla production rose to 439,701 in the fourth quarter, exceeding deliveries by more than 34,000. In the third quarter, production exceeded sales at just over 22,000.
With increased production at the Berlin and Austin, Texas factories, Tesla’s overall production capacity is now well over 450,000 per quarter.
Tesla unit sales were 1,313,851 for 2022, up 40% from 2022. 2021 but below the 50% target. The Model 3 sedan and Model Y crossover accounted for the vast majority of sales. High-end Model S and X vehicles make up the rest.
Meanwhile, the Cybertruck is expected to arrive in 2023, which would be Tesla’s first new model since the Model Y launched in early 2020. The oft-delayed truck will begin “early production” mid-year, according to Musk . Other reports indicate that the Cybertruck will begin mass production in late 2023.
Tesla has also started delivering its long-haul tractor-trailers to PepsiCo (PEP) in December. It’s unclear how many semi-trailers will be produced in 2023, with pricing and key specs still unclear. Tesla plans to build a $3.5 billion manufacturing plant in northern Nevada for tractor-trailers, according to the Nevada Independent.
Tesla stock: profits come after price cuts
Tesla’s fourth-quarter earnings follow a rebound in Tesla’s electric vehicle registrations in China during the week of Jan. 29. 5-16, following recent sharp price declines. The most recent registration numbers appear to reflect some benefits from the Jan. 6 decision to cut prices in China.
Tesla has slashed prices for the Model 3 and Y in China, with the base Model 3 slashed more than 13% to $33,570. Local media in China suggested that Tesla had received 30,000 orders within three days of the announced cuts, according to CnEVPost.
Tesla also announced price cuts in the United States and Europe. This will make more models eligible for $7,500 tax incentives under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA).
The electric vehicle giant has cut prices for the US Model 3 by 6 to 14 percent, depending on the version. A standard version of the Model 3 RWD has been reduced from $3,000 to $43,990. With the IRA tax credit applied to the vehicle, consumers who meet the income limits would pay $36,240.
The Performance Model 3 version was reduced by $9,000 to $53,990, falling below the $55,000 limit for tax credits. Meanwhile, Tesla’s base Model Y has been discounted by $13,000, or nearly 20%, to $52,990, also below the tax credit limit. The Performance variant of this vehicle has been reduced to $56,990, also down $13,000.
TSLA shares rebounded on Friday and Monday after two losing sessions. Tesla stock fell slightly on Tuesday afternoon, hitting resistance at the stock’s 10-week moving average.
Tesla stock is now up 17% since January 1. 6 down or 101.81. A number of analysts also weighed on Tesla stock, cutting price targets.
TSLA shares rank third in the automaker industry group. Tesla stock has a composite rating of 42 out of 99. The stock has a relative strength rating of 5, an IBD Stock Checkup proprietary gauge for stock price performance. The EPS rating is 75.
Please follow Kit Norton on Twitter @KitNorton for more coverage.
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